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Unraveling the Main Drivers behind the Scramble for Power in Sudan 2023

 

Sudan, a nation plagued by a history of conflict and political instability, grapples with a scramble for power in 2023. As various factions vie for control, it is essential to understand the primary reasons driving this power struggle. This article explores the key factors shaping Sudan's current political landscape and sheds light on the complexities that have fueled the ongoing scramble for power.

                                                                                                          photo by Times Israel 

Political Transition and Fragile Democracy: Following the ousting of longtime leader Omar al-Bashir in 2019, Sudan embarked on a delicate political transition toward democracy. However, the transition has been marked by challenges and setbacks, including disagreements over power-sharing arrangements and the slow pace of reforms. This fragile political landscape has created a power vacuum, enticing competing factions to vie for influence and control.

                                                                                               Image from BBC 

Economic Crisis and Resource Competition: Sudan faces a severe economic crisis, exacerbated by high inflation, soaring unemployment rates, and a scarcity of basic commodities. Economic instability often serves as a catalyst for political unrest, as different groups vie for control over scarce resources and financial opportunities. The scramble for power in Sudan can be partly attributed to the competition for access to economic resources and the desire to shape economic policies in favor of specific interests.


                                                    Image from Anadolu Agency 

Ethnic and Regional Divisions: Ethnic and regional divisions have long been a source of tension in Sudan. The country is home to diverse ethnicities and tribes, each with its own interests and aspirations. Political actors have often exploited these divisions seeking to mobilize support along ethnic or regional lines. In the scramble for power, ethnic and regional considerations play a significant role, with various factions aligning themselves to secure the support of particular groups.

                                                                                                                 Omar Al Bashir Image from CNN

Security Challenges and Armed Groups: Sudan continues to grapple with security challenges, particularly in regions such as Darfur, South Kordofan, and Blue Nile. The presence of armed groups and ongoing conflicts create a volatile environment that hinders stability and provides opportunities for power-seeking actors. Some factions may exploit these security challenges, aligning with armed groups to bolster their position and influence within the country.

                                                                          Image from middle east monitor 

External Interference and Geopolitical Interests: Sudan's strategic location and natural resources make it a subject of interest for external powers. Various international actors, including neighboring countries, may seek to exert influence over Sudan's political trajectory to further their own geopolitical objectives. External interference can exacerbate existing divisions and intensify the scramble for power, as different factions align themselves with external supporters to secure their interests.


                           Sudanese protesting against foreign interference,  Image from middle east monitor 

All in all, the scramble for power in Sudan in 2023 is driven by a complex interplay of factors. The fragile political transition, economic crisis, ethnic and regional divisions, security challenges, and external interference all contribute to the ongoing power struggle. Resolving these issues will require concerted efforts to strengthen democratic institutions, address economic disparities, promote inclusivity, and foster peace and security. Only through a comprehensive and sustainable approach can Sudan hope to overcome its challenges and pave the way for a more stable and prosperous future.

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